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W7EES > SWPC 03.02.18 20:56l 44 Lines 1511 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 1732_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<N6RME<N0KFQ<AB0AF<GB7YEW<N9LYA<W7EES
Sent: 180202/2251Z 1732@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.14
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 33 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Feb 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (03 Feb, 04 Feb, 05 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 422 km/s at 01/2142Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (03 Feb), quiet to active levels on day
two (04 Feb) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (05 Feb).
III. Event probabilities 03 Feb-05 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Feb 069
Predicted 03 Feb-05 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 02 Feb 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Feb 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Feb 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Feb-05 Feb 006/005-008/010-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Feb-05 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/30/20
Minor Storm 01/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor Storm 15/30/25
Major-severe storm 15/30/25
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