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W7EES > SWPC 05.02.18 01:25l 45 Lines 1512 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 1735_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IR2UBX<DB0RES<WA7V<CX2SA<ZL2BAU<W9ABA<VA3HRA<KE0GB<KM8V<GB7YEW<
N9LYA<W7EES
Sent: 180204/0024Z 1735@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.14
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 34 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Feb 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to
03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (04 Feb, 05 Feb, 06 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 335 km/s at 03/0613Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (04 Feb), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (05 Feb) and quiet levels on day three (06 Feb).
III. Event probabilities 04 Feb-06 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Feb 069
Predicted 04 Feb-06 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 03 Feb 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Feb 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Feb 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Feb-06 Feb 008/010-008/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Feb-06 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/20/05
Minor Storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/15
Minor Storm 30/25/20
Major-severe storm 30/25/15
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