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OK0NAG > SOLAR    20.02.18 13:51l 123 Lines 3997 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Tue, 20 Feb 2018 12:30:15 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>

:Issued: 2018 Feb 20 1230 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

GEOALERT BRU051
UGEOA 30512 80220 1230/ 9930/ 
10202 20202 30202 
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 20 Feb 2018 until 22 Feb 
2018
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Feb 2018  10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Feb 2018  10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Feb 2018  10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 007
COMMENT: There are no sunspot regions on the visible hemisphere of the 
Sun
and flaring level is very low. The chance for a C flare in the next 24

hours is estimated at 5%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available

coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24

hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.


Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR decreased from about 570 to 440 km/s 
in
the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was directed

towards the Sun and its magnitude varied between about 1 and 8 nT, with

current values around 3 nT. Bz was variable and never below -5 nT. Solar

wind is expected to decrease further in the next 24 hours as coronal hole

high speed stream influence wanes.

Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 4; NOAA 
Kp
between 1 and 4) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled

levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on February 20, 21 and 22, with a
chance for active conditions (K Dourbes = 4).

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 000, BASED ON 13 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 80220 1230/ 19/// 
1//// 20690 3021/ 4//// 8//// 9//// 
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES 

NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 80220 1230/ ///// ///// 
99999
USSPS 31405 20080 00042
UMAGF 30503 80220 1004/ 19062 1/024 22122 35330
UMAGF 31523 80220 0000/ 19007 1/021 24422 33254

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

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