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OK0NAG > SOLAR    24.02.18 14:53l 128 Lines 4192 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2018 Feb 24 1230 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

GEOALERT BRU055
UGEOA 30512 80224 1230/ 9930/ 
10242 21242 30242 
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 24 Feb 2018 until 26 Feb 
2018
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Feb 2018  10CM FLUX: 068 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Feb 2018  10CM FLUX: 068 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Feb 2018  10CM FLUX: 068 / AP: 010
COMMENT: There are no sunspot regions on the visible hemisphere of the 
Sun
and flaring level is very low. The chance for a C flare in the next 24

hours is estimated at 5%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available

coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24

hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.


The solar wind speed (recorded by DSCOVR) gradually decreased from about

550 to 470 km/s in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field

(IMF) was directed mainly toward the Sun and its magnitude ranged between

about 0 and 9 nT. Bz was often below -5 nT between 22:40 UT on February 
23
and 00:20 UT on February 24, and between 01:30 UT and 02:50 UT. On February

24, 25 and 26 the solar wind is expected to be at nominal levels, possibly

with occasional periods of enhanced solar wind as the Earth comes close 
to
the high speed stream associated with the negative polarity south polar

coronal hole.

Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 4; NOAA 
Kp
between 2 and 3) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled

geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected for February 24, 25 and 
26,
with a chance for active intervals (K Dourbes = 4).
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 000, BASED ON 23 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 80224 1230/ 23/// 
1//// 20680 3019/ 4//// 8//// 9//// 
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES 

NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 80224 1230/ ///// ///// 
99999
UMAGF 30503 80224 1004/ 23068 1/026 23422 34232
UMAGF 31523 80224 0000/ 23004 1/019 22434 32253

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

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