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CX2SA > SWPC 15.03.18 00:25l 59 Lines 2088 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 37802_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180314/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:37802 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:37802_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Mar 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 73 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Mar 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to
14/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (15 Mar, 16 Mar, 17 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 431 km/s at 14/1856Z. Total IMF reached 11
nT at 14/1556Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
14/1424Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (15 Mar) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (16 Mar, 17 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Mar 068
Predicted 15 Mar-17 Mar 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 14 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Mar 003/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Mar 009/014
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar 015/018-012/015-013/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 35/35/35
Minor Storm 25/15/15
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/15
Minor Storm 30/30/30
Major-severe storm 55/40/40
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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