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CX2SA > SWPC 22.03.18 00:23l 58 Lines 2064 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 38296_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180321/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:38296 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:38296_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Mar 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 80 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Mar 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z to
21/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (22 Mar, 23 Mar, 24 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 416 km/s at 21/0223Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 22143 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (22 Mar) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (23 Mar, 24 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 22 Mar-24 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 Mar 069
Predicted 22 Mar-24 Mar 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 21 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Mar 007/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Mar 006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Mar-24 Mar 014/018-012/016-014/018
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Mar-24 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 35/35/35
Minor Storm 25/20/25
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/10
Minor Storm 30/30/30
Major-severe storm 55/45/55
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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