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CX2SA > SWPC 27.03.18 00:24l 60 Lines 2189 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 38708_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180326/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:38708 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:38708_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Mar 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 85 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Mar 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (27 Mar, 28 Mar, 29 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 543 km/s at 26/0719Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 26/0508Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
26/0343Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 8088 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (27 Mar), quiet levels on
day two (28 Mar) and quiet to active levels on day three (29 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Mar 068
Predicted 27 Mar-29 Mar 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 26 Mar 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Mar 015/015
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Mar 011/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Mar-29 Mar 010/010-006/005-013/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/30
Minor Storm 05/01/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/15
Minor Storm 25/20/30
Major-severe storm 20/10/40
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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