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CX2SA > SWPC 05.04.18 00:24l 60 Lines 2152 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 39403_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180404/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:39403 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:39403_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Apr 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 94 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Apr 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to
04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (05 Apr, 06 Apr, 07 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 361 km/s at 03/2106Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
04/0718Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
04/0929Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1796 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (05 Apr, 06 Apr)
and quiet levels on day three (07 Apr).
III. Event probabilities 05 Apr-07 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Apr 069
Predicted 05 Apr-07 Apr 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 04 Apr 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Apr 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Apr 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Apr-07 Apr 008/010-007/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Apr-07 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/25/10
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/15
Minor Storm 30/30/15
Major-severe storm 25/25/15
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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