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W7EES > SWPC 07.04.18 01:37l 50 Lines 1638 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 2916_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IR2UBX<SR1BSZ<WA7V<XE1FH<VE2PKT<N0KFQ<KF5JRV<KQ0I<W9ABA<N9LYA<
W7EES
Sent: 180406/2257Z 2916@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 96 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Apr 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to
06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (07 Apr, 08 Apr, 09 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 455 km/s at 05/2324Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at
05/2103Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
06/1647Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 435 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (07 Apr, 08 Apr, 09
Apr).
III. Event probabilities 07 Apr-09 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Apr 067
Predicted 07 Apr-09 Apr 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 06 Apr 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Apr 008/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Apr 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Apr-09 Apr 006/005-006/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Apr-09 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 15/15/15
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