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CX2SA > SWPC 08.04.18 00:24l 60 Lines 2153 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 39665_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180407/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:39665 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:39665_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Apr 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 97 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Apr 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (08 Apr, 09 Apr, 10 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 383 km/s at 07/1948Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
07/1809Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
07/2029Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 314 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (08 Apr, 09 Apr) and quiet to
minor storm levels on day three (10 Apr).
III. Event probabilities 08 Apr-10 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Apr 067
Predicted 08 Apr-10 Apr 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 07 Apr 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Apr 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Apr 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Apr-10 Apr 006/005-006/005-012/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Apr-10 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/40
Minor Storm 01/01/25
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/10
Minor Storm 15/15/30
Major-severe storm 15/15/55
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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