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CX2SA > SWPC 09.04.18 00:25l 58 Lines 2065 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 39741_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180408/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:39741 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:39741_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Apr 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 98 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Apr 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to
08/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Apr, 10 Apr, 11 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 392 km/s at 07/2245Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 488 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (09 Apr) and quiet to
minor storm levels on days two and three (10 Apr, 11 Apr).
III. Event probabilities 09 Apr-11 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Apr 068
Predicted 09 Apr-11 Apr 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 08 Apr 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Apr 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Apr 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr 008/008-015/018-014/018
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Apr-11 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/40/40
Minor Storm 05/25/25
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor Storm 25/30/30
Major-severe storm 25/55/55
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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