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CX2SA  > SWPC     08.06.18 00:34l 60 Lines 2131 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 45285_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180607/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:45285 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:45285_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To  : SWPC@WW

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jun 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 158 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jun 2018

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (08 Jun, 09 Jun, 10 Jun).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 446 km/s at 06/2100Z. Total IMF reached 11
nT at 07/0641Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
06/2136Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 6304 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (08 Jun, 09 Jun, 10
Jun).

III.  Event probabilities 08 Jun-10 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Jun 069
Predicted   08 Jun-10 Jun 069/069/069
90 Day Mean        07 Jun 070

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jun  009/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jun  005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jun-10 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           20/15/15
Major-severe storm    10/10/10

___________________________________________________________

Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________



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