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CX2SA > SWPC 16.06.18 00:33l 60 Lines 2152 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 46060_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180615/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:46060 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:46060_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jun 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 166 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Jun 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to
15/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (16 Jun, 17 Jun, 18 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 346 km/s at 15/1446Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
15/0850Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
15/1351Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 465 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (16 Jun, 17 Jun) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (18 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 16 Jun-18 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Jun 071
Predicted 16 Jun-18 Jun 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 15 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Jun 007/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Jun 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Jun-18 Jun 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Jun-18 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/20
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor Storm 20/20/30
Major-severe storm 10/10/25
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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