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CX2SA > SWPC 29.06.18 00:23l 60 Lines 2143 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 46929_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180628/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:46929 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:46929_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jun 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 179 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Jun 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to
28/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (29 Jun, 30 Jun, 01 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 557 km/s at 27/2105Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 28/0953Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
28/1010Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 5570 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (29 Jun,
30 Jun, 01 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 29 Jun-01 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 28 Jun 070
Predicted 29 Jun-01 Jul 070/068/068
90 Day Mean 28 Jun 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Jun 007/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Jun 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Jun-01 Jul 006/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Jun-01 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/25/25
Minor Storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor Storm 25/25/25
Major-severe storm 25/35/35
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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