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CX2SA > SWPC 01.07.18 00:23l 60 Lines 2153 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 47081_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180630/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:47081 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:47081_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jun 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 181 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Jun 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z to
30/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (01 Jul, 02 Jul, 03 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 496 km/s at 30/1843Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
30/1137Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
30/0719Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 5197 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (01 Jul, 02 Jul)
and quiet levels on day three (03 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 01 Jul-03 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 Jun 069
Predicted 01 Jul-03 Jul 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 30 Jun 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Jun 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Jun 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Jul-03 Jul 007/008-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Jul-03 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/10
Minor Storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/15
Minor Storm 25/25/20
Major-severe storm 35/25/15
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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