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CX2SA > SWPC 29.07.18 00:26l 60 Lines 2117 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 49204_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180728/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:49204 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:49204_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jul 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 209 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Jul 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to
28/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (29 Jul, 30 Jul, 31 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 443 km/s at 28/0035Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
27/2251Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
28/0120Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 3743 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (29 Jul, 30 Jul, 31
Jul).
III. Event probabilities 29 Jul-31 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 28 Jul 068
Predicted 29 Jul-31 Jul 068/070/070
90 Day Mean 28 Jul 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Jul 004/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Jul 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Jul-31 Jul 006/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Jul-31 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 20/20/20
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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