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W7EES > SWPC 25.10.18 02:40l 47 Lines 1587 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 5602_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA<VE2PKT<N9PMO<N9LCF<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 181025/0031Z 5602@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 297 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Oct 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to
24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (25 Oct, 26 Oct, 27 Oct).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 380 km/s at 24/0804Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
24/0955Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
24/0822Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (25 Oct, 26 Oct)
and quiet levels on day three (27 Oct).
III. Event probabilities 25 Oct-27 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Oct 070
Predicted 25 Oct-27 Oct 070/070/068
90 Day Mean 24 Oct 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Oct 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Oct 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Oct-27 Oct 008/008-008/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Oct-27 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor Storm 25/25/20
Major-severe storm 20/20/10
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