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W7EES > SWPC 24.11.18 00:44l 47 Lines 1587 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 6066_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA<N3HYM<KF5JRV<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 181123/2228Z 6066@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQK6.0.17
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 327 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Nov 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to
23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (24 Nov, 25 Nov, 26 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 396 km/s at 23/0032Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
23/0948Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
23/0854Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (24 Nov) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (25 Nov, 26 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 24 Nov-26 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 Nov 069
Predicted 24 Nov-26 Nov 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 23 Nov 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Nov 001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Nov 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov 006/005-006/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Nov-26 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/15
Minor Storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/25/25
Major-severe storm 15/25/25
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