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W7EES > SWPC 26.11.18 01:24l 47 Lines 1585 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 6090_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 181125/2258Z 6090@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.17
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 329 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Nov 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to
25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There is currently 1 numbered sunspot region on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (26 Nov, 27 Nov, 28 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 376 km/s at 25/0719Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
25/0210Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
25/1037Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (26 Nov, 27 Nov)
and quiet levels on day three (28 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 26 Nov-28 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Nov 070
Predicted 26 Nov-28 Nov 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 25 Nov 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Nov 002/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Nov 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Nov-28 Nov 007/008-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Nov-28 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/20/10
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/15
Minor Storm 25/25/20
Major-severe storm 25/20/15
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