| |
W7EES > SWPC 27.11.18 01:45l 47 Lines 1587 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 6096_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 181126/2329Z 6096@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.17
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 330 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Nov 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (27 Nov, 28 Nov, 29 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 356 km/s at 25/2100Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
26/0324Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
26/0226Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (27 Nov) and quiet levels
on days two and three (28 Nov, 29 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 27 Nov-29 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Nov 069
Predicted 27 Nov-29 Nov 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 26 Nov 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Nov 003/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Nov 002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Nov-29 Nov 007/008-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Nov-29 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/10/10
Minor Storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor Storm 25/20/20
Major-severe storm 20/15/15
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
