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W7EES > SWPC 01.04.19 00:02l 46 Lines 1586 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 8058_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA<ZL2BAU<W9ABA<N9LYA<W7EES
Sent: 190304/0332Z 8058@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 62 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Mar 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to
03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (04 Mar, 05 Mar, 06 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 563 km/s at 02/2117Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 45516 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (04 Mar) and quiet levels
on days two and three (05 Mar, 06 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 04 Mar-06 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Mar 070
Predicted 04 Mar-06 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 03 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Mar 009/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Mar 006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Mar-06 Mar 010/010-007/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Mar-06 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 15/15/10
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