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W7EES > SWPC 25.06.19 04:00l 48 Lines 1944 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9703_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<LU4ECL<VE2PKT<N3HYM<KC9VYU<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 190625/0152Z 9703@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQK6.0.18
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 175 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jun 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to
24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (25 Jun, 26 Jun, 27 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 356 km/s at 24/1652Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
24/0244Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
24/0949Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (25 Jun), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (26 Jun) and quiet levels on day three (27 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 25 Jun-27 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Jun 068
Predicted 25 Jun-27 Jun 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 24 Jun 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jun 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Jun 006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun 009/012-010/010-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jun-27 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/20/15
Minor Storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 30/30/20
Major-severe storm 30/30/20
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