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W7EES > SWPC 26.06.19 02:02l 47 Lines 1916 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9732_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<HB9ON<IW0QNL<JH4XSY<N3HYM<KC9VYU<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 190625/2348Z 9732@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQK6.0.18
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 176 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jun 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to
25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (26 Jun, 27 Jun, 28 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 365 km/s at 25/0913Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
25/1718Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
25/1031Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (26 Jun) and quiet levels
on days two and three (27 Jun, 28 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 26 Jun-28 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Jun 068
Predicted 26 Jun-28 Jun 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 25 Jun 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jun 005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Jun 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jun-28 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/15/10
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 30/20/20
Major-severe storm 30/20/10
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