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W7EES > SWPC 01.07.19 01:01l 48 Lines 1894 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9845_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA<N3HYM<N9LCF<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 190630/2247Z 9845@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 181 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Jun 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z to
30/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (01 Jul, 02 Jul, 03 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 345 km/s at 30/1906Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 30/2057Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
29/2229Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (01 Jul, 02 Jul, 03
Jul).
III. Event probabilities 01 Jul-03 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 Jun 067
Predicted 01 Jul-03 Jul 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 30 Jun 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Jun 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Jun 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Jul-03 Jul 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Jul-03 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 05/10/10
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