| |
W7EES > SWPC 09.09.19 21:01l 59 Lines 2335 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 10740_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<HB9ON<IK7NXU<IK6IHL<IZ3LSV<I3XTY<I0OJJ<I0OJJ<EA2RCF<CX2SA<
N3HYM<KC9VYU<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 190813/2251Z 10740@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
>From w7ees%w7ees.or.usa.noam@i0ojj.ampr.org Wed Aug 14 01:45:03 2019
Received: from i0ojj.ampr.org by i0ojj.ampr.org (JNOS2.0k.3b) with SMTP
id AA24855 ; Wed, 14 Aug 2019 01:45:03 +0200
Message-Id: <10740_W7EES@ir0rm.bbs>
>From: w7ees@w7ees.or.usa.noam
X-JNOS-User-Port: Telnet (ir0rm @ 44.134.32.240) -> Sending message
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 225 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Aug 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to
13/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (14 Aug, 15 Aug, 16 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 512 km/s at 13/1720Z. Total IMF reached 12 nT at
13/1223Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
13/1159Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 5336 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (14 Aug, 15 Aug) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (16 Aug).
III. Event probabilities 14 Aug-16 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Aug 067
Predicted 14 Aug-16 Aug 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 13 Aug 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Aug 007/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Aug 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Aug-16 Aug 005/005-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Aug-16 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/25
Major-severe storm 05/05/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal
information in your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is
not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
