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W7EES > SWPC 02.11.19 02:38l 46 Lines 1866 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 11992_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IR2UBX<IW0QNL<JH4XSY<N3HYM<KC9VYU<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 191102/0018Z 11992@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.19
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 305 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Nov 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to
01/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (02 Nov, 03 Nov, 04 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 443 km/s at 01/1030Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2152 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (02 Nov, 03 Nov, 04
Nov).
III. Event probabilities 02 Nov-04 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Nov 071
Predicted 02 Nov-04 Nov 071/071/071
90 Day Mean 01 Nov 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Oct 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Nov 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Nov-04 Nov 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Nov-04 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
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