| |
W7EES > SWPC 17.12.19 02:42l 48 Lines 1914 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 12958_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA<N3HYM<N9LCF<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 191217/0024Z 12958@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.19
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 349 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Dec 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to
15/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (16 Dec, 17 Dec, 18 Dec).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 431 km/s at 15/1634Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at
14/2157Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
15/0040Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (16 Dec, 17 Dec) and quiet to
active levels on day three (18 Dec).
III. Event probabilities 16 Dec-18 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Dec 071
Predicted 16 Dec-18 Dec 071/071/071
90 Day Mean 15 Dec 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Dec 002/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Dec 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Dec-18 Dec 006/005-006/005-009/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Dec-18 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/30
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/15
Minor Storm 20/20/30
Major-severe storm 10/10/35
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
