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W7EES > SWPC 02.03.20 00:32l 61 Lines 2301 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 14929_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<HB9ON<IW2OHX<IR1UAW<I0OJJ<VE3CGR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200227/0023Z 14929@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.19
>From w7ees%w7ees.or.usa.noam@i0ojj.ampr.org Thu Feb 27 01:43:57 2020
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Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 57 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Feb 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (27 Feb, 28 Feb, 29 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 369 km/s at 26/0427Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
26/1026Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
26/1808Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1141 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (27 Feb, 28 Feb, 29
Feb).
III. Event probabilities 27 Feb-29 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Feb 070
Predicted 27 Feb-29 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 26 Feb 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Feb 003/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Feb 006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Feb-29 Feb 005/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Feb-29 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 20/10/10
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