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LU9DCE > SOLAR 09.03.20 06:13l 68 Lines 2652 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 11054_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 09 03
Path: IW8PGT<IR2UBX<EA2RCF<LU9DCE
Sent: 200309/0400Z 11054@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.19
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
CYGWIN - LU9DCE@GMX.COM
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Mar 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 68 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Mar 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to
08/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Mar, 10 Mar, 11 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 413 km/s at 08/0348Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
07/2104Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
08/1937Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 183 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (09 Mar) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (10 Mar, 11 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Mar 070
Predicted 09 Mar-11 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 08 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Mar 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Mar 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 006/005-007/010-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/25/25
Minor Storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/30/30
Major-severe storm 10/30/30
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