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LW3DBH > SOLAR 25.03.20 03:23l 70 Lines 2559 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 59219_LW3DBH
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Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 24 03
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DB0RES<ON0AR<OZ5BBS<CX2SA<ZL2BAU<VE2PKT<VK4TUB<
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Sent: 200325/0108Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:59219 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:59219_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Mar 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 84 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Mar 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to
24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (25 Mar, 26 Mar, 27 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 494 km/s at 23/2105Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 24/0017Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
24/0021Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1303 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (25 Mar, 26 Mar, 27
Mar).
III. Event probabilities 25 Mar-27 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Mar 071
Predicted 25 Mar-27 Mar 071/071/071
90 Day Mean 24 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Mar 010/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Mar 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Mar-27 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Lighten up, while you still can, Don't even try to understand, Just find a
place to make your stand, And take it easy.
-- The Eagles, "Take It Easy"
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