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W7EES  > SWPC     26.03.20 06:34l 48 Lines 1967 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 15694_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IW2OHX<IQ2LB<IR2UFV<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200326/0006Z 15694@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.19


Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 85 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Mar 2020

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to
25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (26 Mar, 27 Mar, 28 Mar).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 431 km/s at 24/2251Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
25/0129Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
24/2331Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1398 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (26 Mar, 27 Mar, 28
Mar).

III.  Event probabilities 26 Mar-28 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           25 Mar 071
Predicted   26 Mar-28 Mar 071/071/071
90 Day Mean        25 Mar 071

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Mar  004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Mar  003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Mar-28 Mar  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Mar-28 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    10/10/10

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