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LW3DBH > SOLAR 01.05.20 16:17l 71 Lines 2664 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 63053_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 26 04
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR2UBX<IW2OHX<IR1UAW<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200427/0108Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:63053 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:63053_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
======================================================================
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Apr 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 117 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Apr 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There is currently 1 numbered sunspot region on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (27 Apr, 28 Apr, 29 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 434 km/s at 26/1939Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
26/1339Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
26/1326Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 225 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to isolated unsettled levels on days one, two, and three
(27 Apr, 28 Apr, 29 Apr).
III. Event probabilities 27 Apr-29 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Apr 069
Predicted 27 Apr-29 Apr 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 26 Apr 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Apr 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Apr 006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Apr-29 Apr 007/008-007/008-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Apr-29 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 20/20/20
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
The one L lama, he's a priest The two L llama, he's a beast And I will bet
my silk pyjama There isn't any three L lllama.
-- O. Nash, to which a fire chief replied that occasionally
his department responded to something like a "three L lllama."
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
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