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W7EES > SWPC 07.05.20 02:07l 50 Lines 1982 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 16714_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<ED1ZAC<CX2SA<N3HYM<W9GM<GB7YEW<PE1RRR<N9LYA<W7EES
Sent: 200506/2328Z 16714@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 127 Issued at 2200Z on 06 May 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to
06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (07 May, 08 May, 09 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 360 km/s at 06/1532Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 05/2315Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
06/0223Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 135 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (07 May, 08 May, 09
May).
III. Event probabilities 07 May-09 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 May 070
Predicted 07 May-09 May 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 06 May 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 May 007/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 May 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 May-09 May 006/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 May-09 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
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