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LW3DBH > SOLAR 08.05.20 03:26l 80 Lines 3298 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 64373_LW3DBH
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Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 07 05
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DB0RES<ON0AR<OZ5BBS<CX2SA<DB0ZAV<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200508/0110Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:64373 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:64373_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
======================================================================
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 May 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 128 Issued at 2200Z on 07 May 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (08 May, 09 May, 10 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 344 km/s at 07/1244Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
07/1048Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
07/0839Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 181 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (08 May, 09 May, 10
May).
III. Event probabilities 08 May-10 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 May 069
Predicted 08 May-10 May 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 07 May 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 May 006/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 May 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 May-10 May 005/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 May-10 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Eudaemonic research proceeded with the casual mania peculiar to this part of
the world. Nude sunbathing on the back deck was combined with phone calls to
Advanced Kinetics in Costa Mesa, American Laser Systems in Goleta, Automation
Industries in Danbury, Connecticut, Arenberg Ultrasonics in Jamaica Plain,
Massachusetts, and Hewlett Packard in Sunnyvale, California, where Norman
Packard's cousin, David, presided as chairman of the board. The trick was
to make these calls at noon, in the hope that out-to-lunch executives would
return them at their own expense. Eudaemonic Enterprises, for all they knew,
might be a fast-growing computer company branching out of the Silicon Valley.
Sniffing the possibility of high-volume sales, these executives little
suspected that they were talking on the other end of the line to a naked
physicist crazed over roulette.
-- Thomas Bass, "The Eudaemonic Pie"
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