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LW3DBH > SOLAR 12.05.20 03:20l 69 Lines 2489 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 64854_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 11 05
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<I0OJJ<GB7CIP<JE7YGF<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200512/0110Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:64854 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:64854_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 May 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 132 Issued at 2200Z on 11 May 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to
11/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (12 May, 13 May, 14 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 354 km/s at 11/0522Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 11/0257Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
11/0224Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 177 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (12 May, 13 May, 14
May).
III. Event probabilities 12 May-14 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 May 066
Predicted 12 May-14 May 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 11 May 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 May 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 May 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 May-14 May 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 May-14 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
An investment in knowledge always pays the best interest.
-- Benjamin Franklin
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