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LW3DBH > SOLAR 13.05.20 03:20l 67 Lines 2372 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 64961_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 12 05
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<I0OJJ<GB7CIP<JE7YGF<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200513/0110Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:64961 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:64961_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 May 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 133 Issued at 2200Z on 12 May 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to
12/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (13 May, 14 May, 15 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 326 km/s at 11/2341Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 161 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (13 May, 14 May, 15
May).
III. Event probabilities 13 May-15 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 May 069
Predicted 13 May-15 May 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 12 May 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 May 007/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 May 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 May-15 May 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 May-15 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
In this world, nothing is certain but death and taxes.
-- Benjamin Franklin
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