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LW3DBH > SOLAR 15.05.20 03:20l 72 Lines 2658 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 65182_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 14 05
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<I0OJJ<GB7CIP<N3HYM<CX2SA<DB0ZAV<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200515/0110Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:65182 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:65182_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
======================================================================
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 May 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 135 Issued at 2200Z on 14 May 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to
14/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (15 May, 16 May, 17 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 308 km/s at 14/0029Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 136 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (15 May, 16 May, 17
May).
III. Event probabilities 15 May-17 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 May 068
Predicted 15 May-17 May 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 14 May 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 May 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 May 004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 May-17 May 006/005-006/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 May-17 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
The camel died quite suddenly on the second day, and Selena fretted sullenly
and, buffing her already impeccable nails -- not for the first time since
the journey begain -- pondered snidely if this would dissolve into a vignette
of minor inconveniences like all the other holidays spent with Basil.
-- Winning sentence, 1983 Bulwer-Lytton bad fiction contest.
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