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LW3DBH > SOLAR 25.05.20 03:25l 73 Lines 2702 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 676_LW3DBH
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Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 24 05
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<F3KT<VE3UIL<VA3TOK<LU9DCE<LU1DBQ<LW3DBH
Sent: 200525/0111Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:676 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:676_LW3DBH
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
======================================================================
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 May 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 145 Issued at 2200Z on 24 May 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to
24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (25 May, 26 May, 27 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 348 km/s at 24/1507Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 24/1330Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
24/1331Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 141 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (25 May, 26 May, 27
May).
III. Event probabilities 25 May-27 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 May 069
Predicted 25 May-27 May 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 24 May 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 May 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 May 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 May-27 May 006/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 May-27 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
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I'll learn to play the Saxophone, I play just what I feel. Drink Scotch
whisky all night long, And die behind the wheel. They got a name for the
winners in the world, I want a name when I lose. They call Alabama the
Crimson Tide, Call me Deacon Blues.
-- Becker and Fagan, "Deacon Blues"
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