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W7EES > SWPC 19.06.20 02:55l 49 Lines 1968 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 18565_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<F3KT<CX2SA<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200619/0021Z 18565@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 170 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Jun 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z to
18/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (19 Jun, 20 Jun, 21 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 311 km/s at 18/0840Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
18/2057Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
18/0842Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 217 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (19 Jun, 20 Jun, 21
Jun).
III. Event probabilities 19 Jun-21 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 Jun 068
Predicted 19 Jun-21 Jun 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 18 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Jun 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Jun 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Jun-21 Jun 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Jun-21 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
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