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W7EES > SWPC 27.06.20 05:33l 48 Lines 1980 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 18823_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IQ5KG<IK1NHL<CX2SA<OK2PEN<N1URO<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 200627/0029Z 18823@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 178 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jun 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (27 Jun, 28 Jun, 29 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 470 km/s at 26/0320Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at
26/2058Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
26/2016Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 144 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (27 Jun,
28 Jun, 29 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 27 Jun-29 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Jun 068
Predicted 27 Jun-29 Jun 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 26 Jun 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jun 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Jun 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun 009/008-009/008-007/006
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jun-29 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/10
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor Storm 25/25/25
Major-severe storm 20/20/15
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