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W7EES > SWPC 24.07.20 01:43l 46 Lines 1911 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 19801_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IW2OHX<IQ2LB<IR2UFV<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200723/2303Z 19801@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 205 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jul 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to
23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot region on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (24 Jul, 25 Jul, 26 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 322 km/s at 23/1000Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 232 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (24 Jul, 26
Jul) and quiet to active levels on day two (25 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 24 Jul-26 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 Jul 070
Predicted 24 Jul-26 Jul 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 23 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jul 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Jul 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Jul-26 Jul 007/008-011/012-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jul-26 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/35/15
Minor Storm 01/15/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/15
Minor Storm 25/25/25
Major-severe storm 20/50/20
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