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W7EES > SWPC 05.09.20 01:41l 49 Lines 1983 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 21560_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<F3KT<GB7CIP<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200904/2254Z 21560@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 248 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Sep 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to
04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (05 Sep, 06 Sep, 07 Sep).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 456 km/s at 03/2241Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 04/1309Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
03/2349Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 15347 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (05 Sep, 06 Sep, 07
Sep).
III. Event probabilities 05 Sep-07 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Sep 070
Predicted 05 Sep-07 Sep 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 04 Sep 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Sep 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Sep 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Sep-07 Sep 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Sep-07 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 20/20/20
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