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W7EES > SWPC 07.09.20 03:36l 46 Lines 1867 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 21669_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IQ2LB<IR2UFV<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200907/0110Z 21669@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 250 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Sep 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to
06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (07 Sep, 08 Sep, 09 Sep).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 459 km/s at 05/2326Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 5373 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (07 Sep, 08 Sep, 09
Sep).
III. Event probabilities 07 Sep-09 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Sep 070
Predicted 07 Sep-09 Sep 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 06 Sep 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Sep 007/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Sep 004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Sep-09 Sep 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Sep-09 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 20/20/20
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