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W7EES > SWPC 03.10.20 03:56l 46 Lines 1917 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 23522_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<HB9CSR<IK6IHL<IZ3LSV<IQ5KG<IQ2LB<IR2UFV<N3HYM<N7HPX<VA7RBP<
W8EDU<N9LYA<W9JUN<N7TRY<W7EES
Sent: 201003/0011Z 23522@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 276 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Oct 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (03 Oct, 04 Oct, 05 Oct).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 539 km/s at 02/0339Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 38685 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (03 Oct) and quiet levels
on days two and three (04 Oct, 05 Oct).
III. Event probabilities 03 Oct-05 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Oct 072
Predicted 03 Oct-05 Oct 072/072/070
90 Day Mean 02 Oct 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Oct 011/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Oct 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Oct-05 Oct 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Oct-05 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/05/05
Minor Storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/15/15
Major-severe storm 25/10/10
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