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CX2SA > SWPC 31.05.15 00:21l 60 Lines 2107 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 21583_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IW7BFZ<I3XTY<I0OJJ<GB7CIP<XE1FH<CX2SA
Sent: 150530/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:21583 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:21583_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2015 May 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 150 Issued at 2200Z on 30 May 2015
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z to
30/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (31 May,
01 Jun, 02 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 482 km/s at
29/2133Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 30/0208Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -5 nT at 30/1044Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (31 May, 01 Jun, 02
Jun).
III. Event probabilities 31 May-02 Jun
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 May 095
Predicted 31 May-02 Jun 095/100/105
90 Day Mean 30 May 125
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 May 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 May 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 May-02 Jun 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 May-02 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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