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CX2SA > SWPC 03.06.15 00:23l 62 Lines 2201 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 21693_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 150602/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:21693 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:21693_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2015 Jun 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 153 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jun 2015
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
02/0702Z from the northeast limb. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot
regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (03 Jun,
04 Jun, 05 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 374 km/s at
02/0305Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 02/0734Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -3 nT at 02/1609Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (03 Jun, 04 Jun, 05
Jun).
III. Event probabilities 03 Jun-05 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Jun 101
Predicted 03 Jun-05 Jun 105/110/110
90 Day Mean 02 Jun 124
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jun 009/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jun 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jun-05 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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